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Home » Predictions » Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan Betting tips for March 9 in Uzbekistan PFL
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 12h30 Uzbekistan PFL
Xorazm Urganch Xorazm Urganch
PREDICTION Xorazm Urganch wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Shurtan Shurtan
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan Betting tips for March 9 in Uzbekistan PFL

Our betting tip for Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
12:30
Xorazm Urganch Xorazm Urganch
2.50
X
2.88
Shurtan Shurtan
2.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan:

🔮 Xorazm Urganch wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Xorazm Urganch, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan:

👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Shurtan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Xorazm Urganch matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Xorazm Urganch has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Shurtan playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan for the Uzbekistan PFL – 9 of March

🏟️ Xorazm Urganch X Shurtan – Uzbekistan PFL
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 Xorazm Urganch – Winning probability: 49.08% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.36% | Fair line: 5.17
🔴 Shurtan – Winning probability: 31.56% | Fair line: 3.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Xorazm Urganch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Xorazm Urganch and Shurtan.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan

Should you bet on Xorazm Urganch?

🔵 Xorazm Urganch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $735.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$225.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $357.20;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$452.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Shurtan?

🔴 Shurtan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $595.20;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$84.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Xorazm Urganch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Xorazm Urganch, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Xorazm Urganch.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xorazm Urganch x Shurtan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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