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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h00 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
XV Piracicaba XV Piracicaba
PREDICTION No tip
Santo Andre SP Santo Andre SP
Don't miss this prediction!

XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2

Our betting tip for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
21:00
XV Piracicaba XV Piracicaba
2.01
X
3.11
Santo Andre SP Santo Andre SP
3.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP

The main points for the tip for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on XV Piracicaba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $235.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Santo Andre SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-77.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, XV Piracicaba scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Santo Andre SP matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 – 2 of February

🏟️ XV Piracicaba X Santo Andre SP – Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 21:00
πŸ”΅ XV Piracicaba – Winning probability: 44.31% | Fair line: 2.26
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.72% | Fair line: 3.26
πŸ”΄ Santo Andre SP – Winning probability: 24.97% | Fair line: 4.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 XV Piracicaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between XV Piracicaba and Santo Andre SP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP

Should you bet on XV Piracicaba?

πŸ”΅ XV Piracicaba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $444.40;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$115.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $654.10;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$35.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Santo Andre SP?

πŸ”΄ Santo Andre SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$130.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 XV Piracicaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 XV Piracicaba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 XV Piracicaba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 XV Piracicaba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for XV Piracicaba x Santo Andre SP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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