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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC Betting tips for September 29 in South Korea K3 League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 06h00 South Korea K3 League
Yangpyeong FC Yangpyeong FC
PREDICTION No tip
Pocheon Citizen FC Pocheon Citizen FC
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Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC Betting tips for September 29 in South Korea K3 League

Our betting tip for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
06:00
Yangpyeong FC Yangpyeong FC
2.50
X
3.24
Pocheon Citizen FC Pocheon Citizen FC
2.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC

The main points for the tip for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Yangpyeong FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pocheon Citizen FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Yangpyeong FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Pocheon Citizen FC.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC for the South Korea K3 League – 29 of September

🏟️ Yangpyeong FC X Pocheon Citizen FC – South Korea K3 League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 06:00
πŸ”΅ Yangpyeong FC – Winning probability: 35.11% | Fair line: 2.85
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.24% | Fair line: 3.67
πŸ”΄ Pocheon Citizen FC – Winning probability: 37.65% | Fair line: 2.66
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Yangpyeong FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC

Is it worth betting on Yangpyeong FC?

πŸ”΅ Yangpyeong FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$125.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $604.80;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$125.20.

Is betting on Pocheon Citizen FC worth it?

πŸ”΄ Pocheon Citizen FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $600.40
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$19.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Yangpyeong FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Yangpyeong FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Yangpyeong FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Pocheon Citizen FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yangpyeong FC x Pocheon Citizen FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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