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Home » Predictions » Others » Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira Betting tips for April 12 in Venezuela Primera Division
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 19h00 Venezuela Primera Division
Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos
PREDICTION Deportivo La Guaira Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira Betting tips for April 12 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
19:00
Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos
4.33
X
3.25
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
1.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira:

🔮 Deportivo La Guaira wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo La Guaira, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Yaracuyanos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo La Guaira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Deportivo La Guaira scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Yaracuyanos conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo La Guaira conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Yaracuyanos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Deportivo La Guaira.

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Summary

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Analysis from Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira for the Venezuela Primera Division – 12 of April

🏟️ Yaracuyanos X Deportivo La Guaira – Venezuela Primera Division
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Yaracuyanos – Winning probability: 10.58% | Fair line: 9.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.37% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 Deportivo La Guaira – Winning probability: 65.05% | Fair line: 1.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Yaracuyanos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira

Is it worth betting on Yaracuyanos?

🔵 Yaracuyanos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $366.30
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo La Guaira?

🔴 Deportivo La Guaira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $507.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$157.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Yaracuyanos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Yaracuyanos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Yaracuyanos.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yaracuyanos x Deportivo La Guaira

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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