Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:00

Yeclano 2.29

X 2.90

AD Ceuta FC 2.96

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC

Important information for your tip for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Yeclano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Ceuta FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AD Ceuta FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Yeclano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AD Ceuta FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, AD Ceuta FC has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Yeclano and AD Ceuta FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC

Should you bet on Yeclano?

🔵 Yeclano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $645.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$145.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $570.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is it worth betting on AD Ceuta FC?

🔴 AD Ceuta FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $392.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$408.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Yeclano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Yeclano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Yeclano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Yeclano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yeclano x AD Ceuta FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.