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Home ยป Predictions ยป Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 1 Lig
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Turkey 1 Lig
Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
PREDICTION Amedspor Wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Amedspor Amedspor
ODD: @1.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
8.90
X
6.00
Amedspor Amedspor
1.22

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Amedspor wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amedspor, you can win up to $610.00!

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Important information for your tip for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Yeni Malatyaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Amedspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $201.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Amedspor did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Yeni Malatyaspor did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Amedspor matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Yeni Malatyaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Amedspor has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Yeni Malatyaspor as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Yeni Malatyaspor X Amedspor – Turkey 1 Lig
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Yeni Malatyaspor – Winning probability: 0.51% | Fair line: 194.48
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.51% | Fair line: 39.84
๐Ÿ”ด Amedspor – Winning probability: 96.98% | Fair line: 1.03
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Yeni Malatyaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor

Is it worth betting on Yeni Malatyaspor?

๐Ÿ”ต Yeni Malatyaspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $79.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$911.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$820.00.

Is it worth betting on Amedspor?

๐Ÿ”ด Amedspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 96.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $213.40
  • And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$183.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Yeni Malatyaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.75 Yeni Malatyaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Yeni Malatyaspor.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yeni Malatyaspor x Amedspor

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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