📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas
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Analysis from Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas for the Turkey Super Lig – 21 of January
🏟️ Yeni Malatyaspor X Besiktas – Turkey Super Lig
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289954 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas
Is it a good idea to bet on Yeni Malatyaspor?
🔵 Yeni Malatyaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $305.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$595.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $896.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$216.00.
Should you bet on Besiktas?
🔴 Besiktas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $460.20
- And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Yeni Malatyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Yeni Malatyaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Yeni Malatyaspor.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yeni Malatyaspor x Besiktas
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves