📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Yeovil x Wrexham
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Analysis from Yeovil x Wrexham for the England National League – 22 of January
🏟️ Yeovil X Wrexham – England National League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Yeovil and Wrexham.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Yeovil x Wrexham
Should you bet on Yeovil?
🔵 Yeovil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.
Is betting on Wrexham worth it?
🔴 Wrexham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $481.77;
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$11.77. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Yeovil x Wrexham
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Yeovil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yeovil x Wrexham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Yeovil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Yeovil.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Yeovil.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yeovil x Wrexham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves