π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
![]() 3.15 |
X 2.89 |
Duzcespor ![]() 2.29 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Yesilyurt x Duzcespor:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Yesilyurt x Duzcespor
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Yesilyurt x Duzcespor
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Yesilyurt x Duzcespor?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Yesilyurt x Duzcespor, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Yesilyurt x Duzcespor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 – 16 of January
ποΈ Yesilyurt X Duzcespor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Yesilyurt and Duzcespor.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Yesilyurt x Duzcespor
Should you bet on Yesilyurt?
π΅ Yesilyurt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $495.65;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$274.35.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $661.50
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$11.50.
Is betting on Duzcespor worth it?
π΄ Duzcespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $539.70
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$40.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Yesilyurt x Duzcespor
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Yesilyurt
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yesilyurt x Duzcespor
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Yesilyurt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Yesilyurt.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yesilyurt x Duzcespor
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves