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Home » Predictions » Others » Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 10h00 Japan J-League
Yokohama F-Marinos Yokohama F-Marinos
PREDICTION Yokohama F-Marinos wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse
ODD: @2.49 Don't miss this prediction!

Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse Betting tips for April 16 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
10:00
Yokohama F-Marinos Yokohama F-Marinos
2.49
X
3.16
Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse
2.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse:

🔮 Yokohama F-Marinos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Yokohama F-Marinos, you can win up to $1245.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Yokohama F-Marinos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-152.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shimizu S-Pulse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Shimizu S-Pulse, Yokohama F-Marinos scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Shimizu S-Pulse conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Yokohama F-Marinos has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Shimizu S-Pulse.
👉 It is not a good time for Shimizu S-Pulse as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse for the Japan J-League – 16 of April

🏟️ Yokohama F-Marinos X Shimizu S-Pulse – Japan J-League
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Yokohama F-Marinos – Winning probability: 51.44% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.95% | Fair line: 4.36
🔴 Shimizu S-Pulse – Winning probability: 25.61% | Fair line: 3.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Yokohama F-Marinos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse

Is betting on Yokohama F-Marinos worth it?

🔵 Yokohama F-Marinos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $759.90;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$269.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $496.80;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$273.20.

Is betting on Shimizu S-Pulse worth it?

🔴 Shimizu S-Pulse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $455.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Yokohama F-Marinos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Yokohama F-Marinos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Yokohama F-Marinos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Yokohama F-Marinos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yokohama F-Marinos x Shimizu S-Pulse

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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