Young Africans x KMC FC Betting tips for September 29 in Tanzania Premier League

Our betting tip for Young Africans x KMC FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:00

Young Africans 1.22

X 5.40

KMC FC 11.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Young Africans x KMC FC:

🔮 Young Africans wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Young Africans, you can win up to $610.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Young Africans x KMC FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on KMC FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Young Africans scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against KMC FC, Young Africans scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Young Africans matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Young Africans is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Young Africans has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against KMC FC playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Young Africans x KMC FC?

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Analysis from Young Africans x KMC FC for the Tanzania Premier League – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Young Africans x KMC FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Young Africans x KMC FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Young Africans?

🔵 Young Africans: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $211.20
• And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$171.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $176.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$784.00.

Is betting on KMC FC worth it?

🔴 KMC FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Young Africans x KMC FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Young Africans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Young Africans x KMC FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Young Africans and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Young Africans.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Young Africans.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Young Africans x KMC FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.