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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Zamora CF x Ponferradina Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 16h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Zamora CF Zamora CF
PREDICTION No tip
Ponferradina Ponferradina
Don't miss this prediction!

Zamora CF x Ponferradina Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Zamora CF x Ponferradina, Saturday, 12/4/2025
πŸ“… 12/4/2025
16:00
Zamora CF Zamora CF
2.35
X
2.90
Ponferradina Ponferradina
2.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Zamora CF x Ponferradina:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Zamora CF x Ponferradina

Some important points for the tip for Zamora CF x Ponferradina:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Zamora CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ponferradina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Zamora CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ponferradina scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Zamora CF x Ponferradina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Zamora CF x Ponferradina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Zamora CF x Ponferradina for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 12 of April

🏟️ Zamora CF X Ponferradina – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
πŸ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Zamora CF – Winning probability: 39.30% | Fair line: 2.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.97% | Fair line: 2.94
πŸ”΄ Ponferradina – Winning probability: 26.73% | Fair line: 3.74
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Zamora CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Zamora CF and Ponferradina.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Zamora CF x Ponferradina

Should you bet on Zamora CF?

πŸ”΅ Zamora CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $526.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$83.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is betting on Ponferradina worth it?

πŸ”΄ Ponferradina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $515.70
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$214.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Zamora CF x Ponferradina

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Zamora CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zamora CF x Ponferradina

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Zamora CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Zamora CF.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Zamora CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zamora CF x Ponferradina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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