Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov Betting tips for April 16 in Russia Cup

Our betting tip for Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 15:00

Zenit St Petersburg 1.55

X 3.96

Rostov 5.26

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov:

🔮 Zenit St Petersburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Zenit St Petersburg, you can win up to $775.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Zenit St Petersburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $42.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rostov in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $28.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Zenit St Petersburg scored at least 4 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rostov scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rostov, Zenit St Petersburg scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Zenit St Petersburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Rostov matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov, with Zenit St Petersburg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Rostov conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Zenit St Petersburg is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Zenit St Petersburg has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rostov playing at home.

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Analysis from Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov for the Russia Cup – 16 of April

When the best bet on Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov

Is it a good idea to bet on Zenit St Petersburg?

🔵 Zenit St Petersburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $423.50;
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$193.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $384.80;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$485.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rostov?

🔴 Rostov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $468.60
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$421.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Zenit St Petersburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Zenit St Petersburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Zenit St Petersburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Rostov.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zenit St Petersburg x Rostov

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.