📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors
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Analysis from ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors for the Zambia Super League – 16 of January
🏟️ ZESCO United X Kabwe Warriors – Zambia Super League
When the best bet on ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors
Should you bet on ZESCO United?
🔵 ZESCO United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $399.00
- And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$1.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $537.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$212.50.
Is betting on Kabwe Warriors worth it?
🔴 Kabwe Warriors: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $585.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 ZESCO United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 ZESCO United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 ZESCO United.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Kabwe Warriors.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ZESCO United x Kabwe Warriors
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves