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Home » Predictions » ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers Betting tips for September 29 in Zambia Super League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Zambia Super League
ZESCO United ZESCO United
PREDICTION ZESCO United wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Mufulira Wanderers Mufulira Wanderers
ODD: @1.71 Don't miss this prediction!

ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers Betting tips for September 29 in Zambia Super League

Our betting tip for ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
ZESCO United ZESCO United
1.71
X
3.20
Mufulira Wanderers Mufulira Wanderers
4.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers:

🔮 ZESCO United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on ZESCO United, you can win up to $855.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers:

👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mufulira Wanderers, ZESCO United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 ZESCO United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Mufulira Wanderers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 ZESCO United has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Mufulira Wanderers playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers for the Zambia Super League – 29 of September

🏟️ ZESCO United X Mufulira Wanderers – Zambia Super League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 ZESCO United – Winning probability: 64.84% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.91% | Fair line: 4.18
🔴 Mufulira Wanderers – Winning probability: 11.26% | Fair line: 8.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 ZESCO United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ZESCO United and Mufulira Wanderers.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers

Is betting on ZESCO United worth it?

🔵 ZESCO United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $461.50
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$111.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is betting on Mufulira Wanderers worth it?

🔴 Mufulira Wanderers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $418.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$472.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 ZESCO United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 ZESCO United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 ZESCO United.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ZESCO United x Mufulira Wanderers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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