📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln
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Analysis from Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln for the Germany 3.Liga – 15 of January
🏟️ Zwickau X FC Viktoria Köln – Germany 3.Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln
Is it a good idea to bet on Zwickau?
🔵 Zwickau: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $507.00;
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$103.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $600.75;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$129.25.
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Viktoria Köln?
🔴 FC Viktoria Köln: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $647.50
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$2.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Zwickau
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Zwickau and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Zwickau.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Zwickau.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zwickau x FC Viktoria Köln
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves