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Home ยป Predictions ยป Pachuca x Leon Betting tips for February 6 in Mexico Liga MX
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 03h00 Mexico Liga MX
Pachuca Pachuca
PREDICTION Leon Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Leon Leon
ODD: @3.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Pachuca x Leon Betting tips for February 6 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Pachuca x Leon, Thursday, 6/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 6/2/2025
03:00
Pachuca Pachuca
1.86
X
3.60
Leon Leon
3.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pachuca x Leon:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Leon wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leon, you can win up to $1955.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Pachuca x Leon:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $388.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Leon, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Leon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Leon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Pachuca has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Leon.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Pachuca x Leon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pachuca x Leon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Pachuca x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 6 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Pachuca X Leon – Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 6 of February, 2025 – 03:00
๐Ÿ”ต Pachuca – Winning probability: 40.25% | Fair line: 2.48
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.93% | Fair line: 5.02
๐Ÿ”ด Leon – Winning probability: 39.82% | Fair line: 2.51
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pachuca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pachuca x Leon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257906 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pachuca x Leon

Should you bet on Pachuca?

๐Ÿ”ต Pachuca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $344.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$256.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Is betting on Leon worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Leon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $1164.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$564.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Pachuca x Leon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pachuca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pachuca x Leon

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Pachuca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Pachuca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Leon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pachuca x Leon

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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