AVS x Gil Vicente Betting tips for November 9 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for AVS x Gil Vicente, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 15:30

AVS 4.60

X 3.40

Gil Vicente 1.79

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AVS x Gil Vicente:

🔮 Gil Vicente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gil Vicente, you can win up to $895.00!

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The main points for the tip for AVS x Gil Vicente:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gil Vicente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 AVS matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Gil Vicente matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AVS conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for AVS vs Gil Vicente:

⚽ In the match between AVS and Gil Vicente, which will take place at the CD das Aves Stadium, we have a very interesting scenario to analyze. The stadium is truly AVSs home, which would normally give an advantage to the home team. However, looking at recent statistics, AVS has been performing very poorly at home: scoring only 3 goals and conceding 11 in their last 5 games at their stadium, with no wins during this period. Meanwhile, Gil Vicente shows stronger away stats with 7 goals scored and only 4 conceded in their last five away games.

📈 In terms of league position (despite exact data not being detailed), we know AVS is in a delicate situation with few points so far (2 points in 8 matches), while Gil Vicente appears to be in a more comfortable spot. This suggests greater motivation for the visitors to seek victory to maintain or improve their standing.

📰 Recent news reinforce this analysis: while AVS drew their last game against Tondela without major news or key reinforcements, Gil Vicente comes from a heavy 0-4 defeat but has recently signed players who have shown potential. This may indicate an away team still adjusting but with superior quality to the opponent.

Analyzing the provided median odds (home: 4.45; draw: 3.4; away: 1.8) and normalizing their implied probabilities, we get something close to:

• AVS win ~22%
• Draw ~29%
• Gil Vicente win ~49%

Given this context — AVSs defensive weakness at home, Gil Vicentes recent better performance away — my fair estimate for the probabilities would be roughly:

• AVS win: about 15% (fair odds around @6.7)
• Draw: about 30% (@3.3)
• Gil Vicente win: about 55% (@1.82)

The betting model from Bets Kenya suggests very high odds for a home win (~13x) and a draw (~5x), greatly underestimating the true chances based on my analysis — likely due to some bias in the model or outdated data on team offensive/defensive strength.

The best bet according to my calculation is on the away team (Gil Vicente) with a positive expected value above +20%, also confirming the partial suggestion of the model regarding the visitors strength, even if it exaggerated their low odds.

Final tip: Bet on Gil Vicentes victory, considering their recent technical superiority and the clear defensive fragility of the home team at the CD das Aves Stadium! 💰🔥

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AVS x Gil Vicente?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AVS x Gil Vicente, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AVS x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 9 of November

When the best bet on AVS x Gil Vicente is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1434498 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

The latest news about AVS x Gil Vicente

AVS Futebol SAD: AVS Futebol SAD recently played a Liga Portugal Betclic match on November 2, 2025, against Tondela, which ended in a 2-2 draw; striker Óscar Perea was in the starting lineup for AVS, making an appearance in the game, while Tondela midfielder Yaya Sithole also started on the opposing side. The club remains a regular participant in Portugals top division, with no transfer news or significant updates since that match.

Gil Vicente: Gil Vicentes main team has been facing difficulties lately, suffering a 0-4 home defeat to FC Alverca, with notable performances from newcomers Andrew and Pablo Felipe, who received ratings above 7.5 in that game; the clubs next Primeira Liga match is scheduled for November 3, 2025. The U-23 team is fifth in the Liga Revelação after a 3-1 loss to Académico Viseu U-23, and the U-19 team will face SC Braga U-19 on November 1, 2025, as part of the first phase of the championship.

Table analysis for the game between AVS and Gil Vicente

AVS: The match against Gil Vicente is crucial for AVS, which is in last place in the table with only 2 points and has not won any match yet. It is in the relegation zone and urgently needs points to try to move away from relegation. Each game is a valuable chance to earn points and seek to stay in the Primeira Liga, so this confrontation is very important for the team.

Gil Vicente: Gil Vicente is in 4th place, aiming to secure a spot in international competitions, specifically in the Conference League. With 22 points, it is quite close to the top positions and needs to maintain or improve its position to ensure this qualification. Therefore, the game against the last-place AVS is key to consolidating its campaign and fighting for a place in the European qualification zone.

Summary: This is an important game for both teams, but for different reasons: while AVS fights to escape relegation, Gil Vicente seeks to secure a spot in international competitions. A high-pressure confrontation for the last-place team and an opportunity for Gil Vicente to ensure its stay in the qualifying group.

Tips for the Match Odds market for AVS x Gil Vicente

Is it a good idea to bet on AVS?

🔵 AVS: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$770.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $336.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$524.00.

Is betting on Gil Vicente worth it?

🔴 Gil Vicente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $647.80
• And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$467.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match AVS x Gil Vicente

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVS x Gil Vicente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 AVS, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 AVS.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Gil Vicente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVS x Gil Vicente

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.