📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Braga x Maritimo
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Braga x Maritimo?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Braga x Maritimo, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Braga x Maritimo for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 15 of January
🏟️ Braga X Maritimo – Portugal Primeira Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Braga x Maritimo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga x Maritimo
Is it worth betting on Braga?
🔵 Braga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 850 times – profiting $323.00;
- And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$173.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $385.00;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$505.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Maritimo?
🔴 Maritimo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $271.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$689.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Maritimo
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Maritimo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Braga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Braga.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Maritimo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves