Braga x Rio Ave Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x Rio Ave, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 16:30

Braga 1.40

X 4.70

Rio Ave 7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga x Rio Ave:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $700.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Braga x Rio Ave: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rio Ave, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Braga conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Braga has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rio Ave playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Rio Ave as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Braga x Rio Ave?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Braga x Rio Ave, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Braga x Rio Ave for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Braga and Rio Ave.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Braga x Rio Ave

Is it worth betting on Braga?

🔵 Braga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $344.00
• And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$204.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $407.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$483.00.

Is it worth betting on Rio Ave?

🔴 Rio Ave: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $120.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$860.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Rio Ave

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Rio Ave

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Braga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Braga.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Braga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Rio Ave

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.