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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » FC Porto x Sporting Betting tips for February 7 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Friday, 07 February 2025, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
FC Porto FC Porto
PREDICTION FC Porto wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Sporting Sporting
ODD: @2.49 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Porto x Sporting Betting tips for February 7 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Sporting, Friday, 7/2/2025
📅 7/2/2025
20:15
FC Porto FC Porto
2.49
X
3.20
Sporting Sporting
2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Porto x Sporting:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $1245.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Porto x Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-370.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sporting, FC Porto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Sporting matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Porto x Sporting, with FC Porto as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Sporting received red cards as the away team in all the last 5 head-to-head matches against FC Porto.
👉 FC Porto has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sporting playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Porto x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 7 of February

🏟️ FC Porto X Sporting – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 7 of February, 2025 – 20:15
🔵 FC Porto – Winning probability: 43.38% | Fair line: 2.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.43% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Sporting – Winning probability: 29.19% | Fair line: 3.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Porto and Sporting.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1258741 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Porto x Sporting

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Porto?

🔵 FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $640.70
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$70.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting?

🔴 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $493.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Sporting

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Porto.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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