Moreirense x Braga Betting tips for February 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Moreirense x Braga, Monday, 3/2/2025

📅 3/2/2025 18:45

Moreirense 4.10

X 3.50

Braga 1.84

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Moreirense x Braga:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $920.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Moreirense x Braga: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $550.0. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Moreirense x Braga, with Moreirense as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Moreirense conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Braga. 👉 Even as a visitor, Braga won the last 4 head-to-head matches Moreirense´s territory

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Analysis from Moreirense x Braga for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 3 of February

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moreirense x Braga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255653 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Moreirense x Braga

Is betting on Moreirense worth it?

🔵 Moreirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $279.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$631.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Should you bet on Braga?

🔴 Braga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 710 times – profiting $596.40;
• And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$306.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Moreirense x Braga

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Moreirense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreirense x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Moreirense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Moreirense.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreirense x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.