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21/1/2022 21:15 |
 Pacos Ferreira2.31 |
X 3.08 |
Boavista  3.10 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pacos Ferreira x Boavista:
๐ฎ Boavista wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boavista, you can win up to $1550.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Pacos Ferreira x Boavista
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Pacos Ferreira x Boavista?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Pacos Ferreira x Boavista for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of January
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๐๏ธ Pacos Ferreira X Boavista – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pacos Ferreira and Boavista.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290581 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Pacos Ferreira x Boavista
Should you bet on Pacos Ferreira?
๐ต Pacos Ferreira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $365.40;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$354.60.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $583.80;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$136.20.
Is betting on Boavista worth it?
๐ด Boavista: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $924.00
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$364.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pacos Ferreira x Boavista
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pacos Ferreira
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pacos Ferreira x Boavista
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pacos Ferreira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Pacos Ferreira.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Boavista.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pacos Ferreira x Boavista
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Friday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
