SC Farense x Braga Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for SC Farense x Braga, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 15:30

SC Farense 4.20

X 3.48

Braga 1.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SC Farense x Braga:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $920.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for SC Farense x Braga: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 SC Farense did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 SC Farense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, SC Farense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for SC Farense as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on SC Farense x Braga?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on SC Farense x Braga:

Analysis from SC Farense x Braga for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Farense x Braga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Farense x Braga

Is betting on SC Farense worth it?

🔵 SC Farense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $512.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $694.40
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$25.60.

Should you bet on Braga?

🔴 Braga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $470.40;
• And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$30.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Braga

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Braga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 SC Farense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 SC Farense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Braga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Braga

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.