Tigres UANL x Necaxa Betting tips for May 12 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tigres UANL x Necaxa, Monday, 12/5/2025

📅 12/5/2025 03:10

Tigres UANL 1.93

X 3.46

Necaxa 3.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tigres UANL x Necaxa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tigres UANL x Necaxa

Some important points for the tip for Tigres UANL x Necaxa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $221.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $223.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tigres UANL scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Necaxa, Tigres UANL scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tigres UANL conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Necaxa has not lost any of them. 👉 Tigres UANL has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Necaxa playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tigres UANL x Necaxa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tigres UANL x Necaxa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tigres UANL x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 12 of May

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tigres UANL and Necaxa.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tigres UANL x Necaxa

Is it a good idea to bet on Tigres UANL?

🔵 Tigres UANL: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $502.20;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$42.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $639.60;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.40.

Is it worth betting on Necaxa?

🔴 Necaxa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $530.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tigres UANL x Necaxa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tigres UANL
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tigres UANL x Necaxa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tigres UANL and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Tigres UANL.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Necaxa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tigres UANL x Necaxa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.