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21/11/2023 23:30 |
 Ecuador1.62 |
X 3.62 |
Chile  5.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ecuador x Chile:
๐ฎ Ecuador wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ecuador, you can win up to $810.00!
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The main points for the tip for Ecuador x Chile: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-47.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Ecuador x Chile
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Chile?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Chile, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Ecuador x Chile for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 21 of November
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๐๏ธ Ecuador X Chile – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ecuador and Chile.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ecuador x Chile
Is it worth betting on Ecuador?
๐ต Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $489.80;
- And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$279.80.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $393.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$457.00.
Is it worth betting on Chile?
๐ด Chile: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $240.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$700.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ecuador x Chile
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ecuador
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ecuador x Chile
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Ecuador and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Ecuador.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ecuador.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ecuador x Chile
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
