Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for November 22 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama, Wednesday, 22/11/2023

📅 22/11/2023 22:00

Cruzeiro 2.06

X 3.25

Vasco da Gama 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1030.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Vasco da Gama, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Vasco da Gama matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Cruzeiro has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Vasco da Gama playing at home.

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 22 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024629 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

Should you bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $583.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$133.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?

🔴 Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $375.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cruzeiro.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.