Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for May 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday, 5/5/2024

📅 5/5/2024 15:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 3.14

X 3.52

Bayer Leverkusen 2.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eintracht Frankfurt, you can win up to $1570.00!

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Important information for your tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-109.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $28.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bayer Leverkusen, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Bayer Leverkusen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen, with Eintracht Frankfurt as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Eintracht Frankfurt conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bayer Leverkusen. 👉 Eintracht Frankfurt is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of them. 👉 Eintracht Frankfurt has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Bayer Leverkusen.

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Analysis from Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1111522 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen

Is it worth betting on Eintracht Frankfurt?

🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $706.20;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$36.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $730.80;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Bayer Leverkusen worth it?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $440.80;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$179.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.