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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Heidenheim x Mainz Betting tips for May 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 05 May 2024, 17h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION Mainz Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Mainz Mainz
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x Mainz Betting tips for May 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x Mainz, Sunday, 5/5/2024
📅 5/5/2024
17:30
Heidenheim Heidenheim
2.88
X
3.50
Mainz Mainz
2.26

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Heidenheim x Mainz:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1130.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Heidenheim x Mainz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Heidenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x Mainz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x Mainz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Heidenheim x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of May

🏟️ Heidenheim X Mainz – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 5 of May, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 19.57% | Fair line: 5.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.23% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 Mainz – Winning probability: 49.20% | Fair line: 2.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heidenheim x Mainz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1112029 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heidenheim x Mainz

Is it a good idea to bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $376.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $775.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔴 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $617.40;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$107.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x Mainz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Mainz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Heidenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Heidenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Heidenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x Mainz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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