Union Berlin x Bochum Betting tips for May 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Union Berlin x Bochum, Sunday, 5/5/2024

📅 5/5/2024 13:30

Union Berlin 1.92

X 3.49

Bochum 3.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Berlin x Bochum:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Union Berlin x Bochum: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-145.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bochum, Union Berlin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Union Berlin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Bochum playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Bochum as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Berlin x Bochum?

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Analysis from Union Berlin x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Berlin x Bochum right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1111522 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Berlin x Bochum

Should you bet on Union Berlin?

🔵 Union Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $395.60;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$174.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $896.40;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$256.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bochum?

🔴 Bochum: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $596.40;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x Bochum

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Bochum

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Union Berlin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Union Berlin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bochum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.