📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Brighton x Chelsea
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Analysis from Brighton x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 18 of January
🏟️ Brighton X Chelsea – England Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brighton x Chelsea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289715 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Brighton x Chelsea
Is it worth betting on Brighton?
🔵 Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $637.50;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$212.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $729.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$1.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on Chelsea?
🔴 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $381.90;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Chelsea
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Chelsea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Brighton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Brighton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Chelsea
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves