Crystal Palace x Manchester United Betting tips for May 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Manchester United, Monday, 6/5/2024

📅 6/5/2024 19:00

Crystal Palace 2.41

X 3.65

Manchester United 2.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Manchester United:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $1205.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Crystal Palace x Manchester United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace x Manchester United, with Crystal Palace as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Manchester United matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Manchester United conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Crystal Palace has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Manchester United playing at home.

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 6 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crystal Palace x Manchester United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1113358 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crystal Palace x Manchester United

Should you bet on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $817.80;
• And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$397.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $530.00
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$270.00.

Is it worth betting on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $356.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$423.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Manchester United

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Crystal Palace and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Crystal Palace.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.