Fulham x Liverpool Betting tips for April 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Fulham x Liverpool, Sunday, 21/4/2024

📅 21/4/2024 15:30

Fulham 5.25

X 4.40

Liverpool 1.54

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fulham x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $770.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fulham x Liverpool: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $322.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-28.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Liverpool, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Liverpool. 👉 Fulham has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Liverpool playing at home.

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Analysis from Fulham x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 21 of April

When the best bet on Fulham x Liverpool is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1100583 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fulham x Liverpool

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $212.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$737.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $408.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is betting on Liverpool worth it?

🔴 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $448.20
• And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Liverpool

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Fulham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Fulham.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.