Luton x Brentford Betting tips for April 20 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Luton x Brentford, Saturday, 20/4/2024

📅 20/4/2024 14:00

Luton 2.90

X 3.60

Brentford 2.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Luton x Brentford:

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Luton x Brentford: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Luton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Luton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Brentford matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Luton x Brentford, with Luton as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Luton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brentford conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Luton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Brentford.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Luton x Brentford?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Luton x Brentford for the England Premier League – 20 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Luton x Brentford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100583 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Luton x Brentford

Is it worth betting on Luton?

🔵 Luton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$304.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔴 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $712.50;
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$282.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Luton x Brentford

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Luton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Luton x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Luton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Luton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Luton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Luton x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.