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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Sheff Utd x Burnley Betting tips for April 20 in England Premier League
Saturday, 20 April 2024, 14h00 England Premier League
Sheff Utd Sheff Utd
PREDICTION Burnley Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Burnley Burnley
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Sheff Utd x Burnley Betting tips for April 20 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Sheff Utd x Burnley, Saturday, 20/4/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/4/2024
14:00
Sheff Utd Sheff Utd
2.70
X
3.45
Burnley Burnley
2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sheff Utd x Burnley:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Burnley wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burnley, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sheff Utd x Burnley:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sheff Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Burnley, Sheff Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Sheff Utd matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sheff Utd conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sheff Utd has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Burnley.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sheff Utd x Burnley?

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Analysis from Sheff Utd x Burnley for the England Premier League – 20 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sheff Utd X Burnley – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 20 of April, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sheff Utd – Winning probability: 16.49% | Fair line: 6.06
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.43% | Fair line: 4.27
๐Ÿ”ด Burnley – Winning probability: 60.08% | Fair line: 1.66
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sheff Utd
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sheff Utd x Burnley is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100583 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sheff Utd x Burnley

Is it worth betting on Sheff Utd?

๐Ÿ”ต Sheff Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $272.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$568.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$206.50.

Is it worth betting on Burnley?

๐Ÿ”ด Burnley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $870.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$470.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sheff Utd x Burnley

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sheff Utd
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sheff Utd x Burnley

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Sheff Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sheff Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Burnley.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sheff Utd x Burnley

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves