Sheff Utd x Burnley Betting tips for April 20 in England Premier League
๐
20/4/2024 14:00 |
Sheff Utd 2.70 |
X 3.45 |
Burnley 2.45 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sheff Utd x Burnley:
๐ฎ Burnley wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burnley, you can win up to $1225.00!
Some important points for the tip for Sheff Utd x Burnley: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Sheff Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Sheff Utd x Burnley for the England Premier League – 20 of April
๐๏ธ Sheff Utd X Burnley – England Premier League |
When the best bet on Sheff Utd x Burnley is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100583 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sheff Utd x Burnley
Is it worth betting on Sheff Utd?
๐ต Sheff Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $272.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$568.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$206.50.
Is it worth betting on Burnley?
๐ด Burnley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $870.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$470.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sheff Utd x Burnley
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sheff Utd
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sheff Utd x Burnley
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Sheff Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sheff Utd.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Burnley.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sheff Utd x Burnley
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.