📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for West Ham x Leeds
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Analysis from West Ham x Leeds for the England Premier League – 16 of January
🏟️ West Ham X Leeds – England Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between West Ham and Leeds.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for West Ham x Leeds
Is it a good idea to bet on West Ham?
🔵 West Ham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $475.70;
- And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$185.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Should you bet on Leeds?
🔴 Leeds: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $412.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$477.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match West Ham x Leeds
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Ham x Leeds
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 West Ham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 West Ham.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Ham x Leeds
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves