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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Wolverhampton x Arsenal Betting tips for April 20 in England Premier League
Saturday, 20 April 2024, 18h30 England Premier League
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
PREDICTION Arsenal Wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Arsenal Arsenal
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolverhampton x Arsenal Betting tips for April 20 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Wolverhampton x Arsenal, Saturday, 20/4/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/4/2024
18:30
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
7.50
X
4.89
Arsenal Arsenal
1.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wolverhampton x Arsenal:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Arsenal wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $685.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Wolverhampton x Arsenal:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-229.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Wolverhampton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Arsenal.

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolverhampton x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 20 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Wolverhampton X Arsenal – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 20 of April, 2024 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต Wolverhampton – Winning probability: 0.92% | Fair line: 109.04
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.18% | Fair line: 23.93
๐Ÿ”ด Arsenal – Winning probability: 94.90% | Fair line: 1.05
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Wolverhampton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wolverhampton x Arsenal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1100583 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolverhampton x Arsenal

Is betting on Wolverhampton worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Wolverhampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $65.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$925.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $155.60
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$804.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arsenal?

๐Ÿ”ด Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 950 times – having a profit of $351.50;
  • And would lose other 50 times – losing -$50.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$301.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wolverhampton x Arsenal

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Wolverhampton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolverhampton x Arsenal

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Wolverhampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Wolverhampton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolverhampton x Arsenal

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves