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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป Brest x Nantes Betting tips for May 4 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 04 May 2024, 19h00 France Ligue 1
Brest Brest
PREDICTION Brest wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Nantes Nantes
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x Nantes Betting tips for May 4 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Nantes, Saturday, 4/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 4/5/2024
19:00
Brest Brest
1.70
X
3.60
Nantes Nantes
4.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brest x Nantes:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Brest wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brest, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Brest x Nantes:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $612.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nantes, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Brest conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Nantes has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brest x Nantes for the France Ligue 1 – 4 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Brest X Nantes – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 4 of May, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Brest – Winning probability: 70.21% | Fair line: 1.42
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.88% | Fair line: 5.92
๐Ÿ”ด Nantes – Winning probability: 12.91% | Fair line: 7.75
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brest and Nantes.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1111369 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Nantes

Is it worth betting on Brest?

๐Ÿ”ต Brest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – profiting $490.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$388.00.

Is it worth betting on Nantes?

๐Ÿ”ด Nantes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $504.40
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$365.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Nantes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Nantes

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Brest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nantes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Nantes

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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