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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป Lille x Lyon Betting tips for May 6 in France Ligue 1
Monday, 06 May 2024, 19h00 France Ligue 1
Lille Lille
PREDICTION Lille wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Lyon Lyon
ODD: @1.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Lille x Lyon Betting tips for May 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lille x Lyon, Monday, 6/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/5/2024
19:00
Lille Lille
1.89
X
3.62
Lyon Lyon
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lille x Lyon:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lille wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $945.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lille x Lyon:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $317.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $371.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Lyon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lyon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Lille is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Lille has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lyon playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lille x Lyon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lille x Lyon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lille x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lille X Lyon – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 6 of May, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Lille – Winning probability: 64.39% | Fair line: 1.55
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.24% | Fair line: 6.16
๐Ÿ”ด Lyon – Winning probability: 19.37% | Fair line: 5.16
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lille
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lille x Lyon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1113358 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lille x Lyon

Is betting on Lille worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $569.60
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$209.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $419.20
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$420.80.

Is betting on Lyon worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$278.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lille x Lyon

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lille
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lille x Lyon

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lille.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lille x Lyon

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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