Metz x Rennes Betting tips for May 4 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Metz x Rennes, Saturday, 4/5/2024

📅 4/5/2024 17:00

Metz 3.64

X 3.59

Rennes 1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Metz x Rennes:

🔮 Rennes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rennes, you can win up to $975.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Metz x Rennes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Metz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Metz scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Metz matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Metz conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Metz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Rennes. 👉 Even as a visitor, Rennes won the last 3 head-to-head matches Metz´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Metz x Rennes?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Metz x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 4 of May

When the best bet on Metz x Rennes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1110529 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Metz x Rennes

Is it worth betting on Metz?

🔵 Metz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $501.60;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$308.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $595.70;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rennes?

🔴 Rennes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $551.00;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Metz x Rennes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Metz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Metz x Rennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Metz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Metz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Metz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Metz x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.