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19/1/2022 18:00 |
 Montpellier1.75 |
X 3.91 |
Troyes  4.37 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Montpellier x Troyes:
๐ฎ Montpellier wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $875.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Montpellier x Troyes
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Montpellier x Troyes?
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Analysis from Montpellier x Troyes for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ Montpellier X Troyes – France Ligue 1 |
When the best bet on Montpellier x Troyes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Montpellier x Troyes
Should you bet on Montpellier?
๐ต Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
- And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$102.50.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $727.50
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$22.50.
Should you bet on Troyes?
๐ด Troyes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $370.15;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$519.85.
Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Troyes
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Montpellier
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Troyes
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Montpellier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Montpellier.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Montpellier.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Troyes
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
