📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Getafe x Granada
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Analysis from Getafe x Granada for the Spain Primera Liga – 20 of January
🏟️ Getafe X Granada – Spain Primera Liga
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Getafe and Granada.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290148 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Getafe x Granada
Should you bet on Getafe?
🔵 Getafe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $379.50
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on Granada?
🔴 Granada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $924.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$254.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Getafe x Granada
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Getafe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Getafe x Granada
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Getafe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Getafe.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Getafe x Granada
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Thursday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves