๐
18/1/2022 19:00 |
![]() 1.51 |
X 4.15 |
CD Alaves ![]() 6.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Real Betis x CD Alaves:
๐ฎ Real Betis wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Betis, you can win up to $755.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Real Betis x CD Alaves
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Real Betis x CD Alaves?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Betis x CD Alaves, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Real Betis x CD Alaves for the Spain Primera Liga – 18 of January
๐๏ธ Real Betis X CD Alaves – Spain Primera Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Betis x CD Alaves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289715 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Betis x CD Alaves
Should you bet on Real Betis?
๐ต Real Betis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $387.60;
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$147.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $378.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$502.00.
Is it worth betting on CD Alaves?
๐ด CD Alaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Betis x CD Alaves
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Betis
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Betis x CD Alaves
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Real Betis and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Real Betis.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Real Betis.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Betis x CD Alaves
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves