📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Aberdeen x Rangers
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Analysis from Aberdeen x Rangers for the Scotland Premiership – 18 of January
🏟️ Aberdeen X Rangers – Scotland Premiership
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aberdeen x Rangers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289715 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aberdeen x Rangers
Should you bet on Aberdeen?
🔵 Aberdeen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $682.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$167.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $1096.20;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$456.20.
Is betting on Rangers worth it?
🔴 Rangers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $265.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$235.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aberdeen x Rangers
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Aberdeen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aberdeen x Rangers
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Aberdeen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Aberdeen.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Aberdeen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aberdeen x Rangers
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves