📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia
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Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 22 of November
🏟️ AD Guanacasteca X Municipal Liberia – Costa Rica Primera Division
When the best bet on AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024629 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia
Is it worth betting on AD Guanacasteca?
🔵 AD Guanacasteca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $508.40
- And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$128.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.
Is it worth betting on Municipal Liberia?
🔴 Municipal Liberia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $465.80
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$364.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AD Guanacasteca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 AD Guanacasteca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Municipal Liberia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Municipal Liberia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves