📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk
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Analysis from Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk for the Turkey Super Lig – 22 of January
🏟️ Adana Demirspor X Fatih Karagumruk – Turkey Super Lig
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk
Should you bet on Adana Demirspor?
🔵 Adana Demirspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $427.70;
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$102.30.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$320.00.
Is it worth betting on Fatih Karagumruk?
🔴 Fatih Karagumruk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $957.00
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$287.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Adana Demirspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Adana Demirspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Adana Demirspor.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Adana Demirspor x Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves