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18/1/2022 17:00 |
 AEK Larnaca1.31 |
X 4.50 |
PAEEK  8.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AEK Larnaca x PAEEK:
๐ฎ AEK Larnaca wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Larnaca, you can win up to $655.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AEK Larnaca x PAEEK
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AEK Larnaca x PAEEK?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AEK Larnaca x PAEEK:
Analysis from AEK Larnaca x PAEEK for the Cyprus Cup – 18 of January
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๐๏ธ AEK Larnaca X PAEEK – Cyprus Cup |
When the best bet on AEK Larnaca x PAEEK is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288868 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AEK Larnaca x PAEEK
Should you bet on AEK Larnaca?
๐ต AEK Larnaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $288.30;
- And would lose other 70 times – losing -$70.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$218.30.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$820.00.
Is it worth betting on PAEEK?
๐ด PAEEK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $234.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$736.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AEK Larnaca x PAEEK
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AEK Larnaca
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AEK Larnaca x PAEEK
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 AEK Larnaca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 AEK Larnaca.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AEK Larnaca x PAEEK
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
