📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Agoncillo x Rapid de Murillo
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Analysis from Agoncillo x Rapid de Murillo for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 15 of January
🏟️ Agoncillo X Rapid de Murillo – Spain Tercera Group 16
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Agoncillo and Rapid de Murillo.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Agoncillo x Rapid de Murillo
Is betting on Agoncillo worth it?
🔵 Agoncillo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $379.20
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$140.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $720.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Rapid de Murillo worth it?
🔴 Rapid de Murillo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $627.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$153.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Agoncillo x Rapid de Murillo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Agoncillo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Agoncillo x Rapid de Murillo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Agoncillo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Agoncillo.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Agoncillo x Rapid de Murillo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves