📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Al Hala x Manama
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Analysis from Al Hala x Manama for the Bahrain Premier League – 21 of January
🏟️ Al Hala X Manama – Bahrain Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Hala and Manama.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290173 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Hala x Manama
Should you bet on Al Hala?
🔵 Al Hala: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is betting on Manama worth it?
🔴 Manama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $438.00;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$38.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Hala x Manama
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Hala
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Hala x Manama
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Al Hala, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Al Hala.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Al Hala.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Hala x Manama
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves