| π
15/1/2022 13:05 |
 Al Wasl SC3.30 |
X 3.60 |
Al Ain SCC  1.85 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC
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Analysis from Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC for the UAE Cup – 15 of January
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ποΈ Al Wasl SC X Al Ain SCC – UAE Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Wasl SC and Al Ain SCC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC
Should you bet on Al Wasl SC?
π΅ Al Wasl SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$340.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$64.00.
Is it worth betting on Al Ain SCC?
π΄ Al Ain SCC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $460.08;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$0.08, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Wasl SC
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Al Wasl SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Al Wasl SC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Al Wasl SC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Wasl SC x Al Ain SCC
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
